Fillmore County leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Fillmore County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fillmore County, ~24% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fillmore County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Fillmore County leans more Republican than 8 of 12 neighbors.
Fillmore County runs about 36 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Fillmore County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Fillmore County. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+37) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+27), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Fillmore County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fillmore County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 10% of residents in Fillmore County live in densely developed areas, about 14 points below the Minnesota average of 23%. Fillmore County runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Fillmore County, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Fillmore County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Fillmore County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 83% of households in Fillmore County own their home, above 91% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Howard County, IA R+35
- Winona County, MN R+8
- Olmsted County, MN D+12
- Winneshiek County, IA R+13
- Houston County, MN R+21
- Mower County, MN R+13
- Wabasha County, MN R+30
- Dodge County, MN R+31
- Mitchell County, IA R+36
- Allamakee County, IA R+32
Counties with Similar Populations
- Gray County, TX R+59
- Nodaway County, MO R+38
- Llano County, TX R+56
- Madison County, NC R+34
- Clinton County, MO R+48
- Leake County, MS R+12
- Newton County, MS R+34
- Jackson County, WI R+21
- Owen County, IN R+57
- Logan County, AR R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.