Gray County is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Gray County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gray County, ~12% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gray County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Gray County is the least Republican-leaning.
Gray County runs about 45 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Gray County. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+91) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+37), a spread of about 55 points.
Why Gray County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gray County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 84% of residents in Gray County drive to work alone, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Gray County sits in the bottom quarter (about 16%, below 84% of counties). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 72% of households in Gray County are family households, above 86% of counties.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Gray County, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Gray County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Gray County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 10 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Roberts County, TX R+90
- Carson County, TX R+75
- Hutchinson County, TX R+60
- Armstrong County, TX R+77
- Wheeler County, TX R+67
- Donley County, TX R+66
- Hemphill County, TX R+66
- Hansford County, TX R+68
- Potter County, TX R+19
- Ochiltree County, TX R+58
Counties with Similar Populations
- Fillmore County, MN R+32
- Nodaway County, MO R+38
- Llano County, TX R+56
- Madison County, NC R+34
- Clinton County, MO R+48
- Leake County, MS R+12
- Newton County, MS R+34
- Jackson County, WI R+21
- Owen County, IN R+57
- Logan County, AR R+63
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.