Leake County leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Leake County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Leake County, ~28% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Leake County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Leake County leans more Republican than 4 of 10 neighbors.
Leake County runs about 11 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Leake County. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+31) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+75), a spread of about 106 points.
Why Leake County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Leake County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 11% of residents in Leake County live in densely developed areas, about 25 points below the U.S. average of 36%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Leake County, MS sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Leake County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Leake County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 8%, about 52 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Neshoba County, MS R+31
- Scott County, MS R+18
- Attala County, MS R+13
- Newton County, MS R+34
- Winston County, MS R+10
- Madison County, MS R+5
- Holmes County, MS D+60
- Rankin County, MS R+42
- Choctaw County, MS R+37
- Kemper County, MS D+23
Counties with Similar Populations
- Newton County, MS R+34
- Llano County, TX R+56
- Nodaway County, MO R+38
- Owen County, IN R+57
- Fillmore County, MN R+32
- Gray County, TX R+59
- Hubbard County, MN R+30
- Madison County, NC R+34
- Moore County, TX R+32
- Clinton County, MO R+48
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.