Fox Lake leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Fox Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fox Lake, ~33% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fox Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fox Lake leans more Republican than 87 of 140 neighbors.
Fox Lake runs about 21 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Fox Lake is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fox Lake. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+21) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Fox Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fox Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Fox Lake votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 48%, well above the Illinois average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Fox Lake runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Fox Lake, IL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Fox Lake looks the way it does
Turnout in Fox Lake sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pistakee Highlands, IL R+14
- Ingleside, IL R+5
- Johnsburg, IL R+19
- Spring Grove, IL R+23
- Round Lake Heights, IL D+7
- Lake Villa, IL Even
- Lakemoor, IL R+12
- Round Lake Beach, IL D+16
- Volo, IL Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- La Riviera, CA D+30
- Junction City, OR R+11
- Nevada, MO R+46
- Humboldt, TN R+15
- Forest, MS D+7
- Paso Robles, CA R+32
- Grayson, KY R+58
- Woodmere, LA D+75
- Austin, AR R+57
- Panthersville, GA D+86
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.