Frances leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Frances typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Frances, ~20% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Frances compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Frances leans more Republican than 16 of 32 neighbors.
Frances runs about 46 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Frances is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Frances leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Frances, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Frances votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Frances runs about 46 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Frances sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 96% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Frances, WA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Frances looks the way it does
Turnout in Frances sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lebam, WA R+28
- Holcomb, WA R+28
- Pe Ell, WA R+45
- Adna, WA R+44
- Doty, WA R+42
- Grays River, WA R+26
- Menlo, WA R+24
- Raymond, WA R+13
- Deep River, WA R+25
- South Bend, WA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Woodruff, IN R+66
- Scott, MS R+21
- Whiteland, TX R+76
- Herald, IL R+56
- Independence, IN R+59
- Whiteville, OH R+49
- Iola, PA R+54
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.