Menlo leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Menlo typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Menlo, ~22% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Menlo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Menlo leans more Republican than 20 of 35 neighbors.
Menlo runs about 43 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Menlo is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Menlo. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+28), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Menlo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Menlo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Menlo votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Menlo runs about 43 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Menlo sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 81% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Menlo, WA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Menlo looks the way it does
Turnout in Menlo sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Deep River, WA R+25
- Naselle, WA R+23
- Holcomb, WA R+28
- Grays River, WA R+26
- Rosburg, WA R+26
- Lebam, WA R+28
- Oceanside, WA D+2
- Stringtown, WA R+18
- South Bend, WA Even
- Ocean Park, WA D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Johnsville, AR R+62
- Keyesville, WI R+22
- Lavansville, PA R+60
- Leadmine, MO R+71
- Sprott, AL D+17
- Claytonville, IL R+67
- Robin Hood Lakes, PA R+34
- Lascar, CO R+21
- Sharptown, NJ R+26
- Melrude, MN R+4
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.