Frenchmans Bayou leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Frenchmans Bayou typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Frenchmans Bayou, ~17% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Frenchmans Bayou compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Frenchmans Bayou leans more Republican than 20 of 70 neighbors.
Frenchmans Bayou runs about 7 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Frenchmans Bayou leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Frenchmans Bayou, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Frenchmans Bayou hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Arkansas average of 18%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Frenchmans Bayou, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Frenchmans Bayou looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Frenchmans Bayou is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 6 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 33% of households in Frenchmans Bayou rent, above 89% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in Frenchmans Bayou report food insecurity, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Joiner, AR R+23
- Bassett, AR R+23
- Gilmore, AR R+4
- Whitton, AR R+42
- Deckerville, AR R+59
- Turrell, AR R+21
- Dyess, AR R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lee Valley, TN R+74
- Scovel, IL R+56
- Horseshoe, AR R+40
- Empire City, KS R+61
- Enright, AR R+64
- Red Star, AR R+64
- Stratford, NC R+60
- Kearney, PA R+71
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.