Gaffney Lane is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Gaffney Lane typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gaffney Lane, ~35% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gaffney Lane compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Gaffney Lane is the most Republican-leaning.
Gaffney Lane runs about 18 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Gaffney Lane is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Gaffney Lane leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gaffney Lane, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Gaffney Lane votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Gaffney Lane runs about 18 points more Republican.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Gaffney Lane, Oregon City, OR does.
Why turnout in Gaffney Lane looks the way it does
Turnout in Gaffney Lane sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Hillendale, Oregon City, OR Even
- Caufield, Oregon City, OR R+3
- Barclay Hills, Oregon City, OR D+22
- McLoughlin, Oregon City, OR D+33
- Willamette-West Linn, West Linn, OR D+31
- Jennings Lodge, Portland, OR D+22
- Hidden Springs, West Linn, OR D+39
- North Clackamas, Oatfield, OR D+13
- Stafford-Tualatin Valley, West Linn, OR D+21
- Sunnyside, Clackamas, OR D+26
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Bryce Canyon North, Oxnard, CA D+36
- Sunnyland, Washington, IL R+22
- Alma, San Jose, CA D+36
- San Antonio Creekside, San Antonio, TX D+11
- Rock Spring, Arlington, VA D+43
- Arlington, Birmingham, AL D+90
- Ravendale, Detroit, MI D+86
- Mosswood, Oakland, CA D+82
- Pine Brook, Camp Hill, PA Even
- San Jose Forest, Jacksonville, FL R+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.