Caufield is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Caufield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Caufield, ~36% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Caufield compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Caufield leans more Republican than 5 of 6 neighbors.
Caufield runs about 18 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Caufield is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Caufield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Caufield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Caufield, about 78% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, below 66% of neighborhoods. Caufield runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Caufield, Oregon City, OR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Caufield looks the way it does
Turnout in Caufield sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Gaffney Lane, Oregon City, OR R+4
- Hillendale, Oregon City, OR Even
- Barclay Hills, Oregon City, OR D+22
- McLoughlin, Oregon City, OR D+33
- Willamette-West Linn, West Linn, OR D+31
- Jennings Lodge, Portland, OR D+22
- Hidden Springs, West Linn, OR D+39
- North Clackamas, Oatfield, OR D+13
- Stafford-Tualatin Valley, West Linn, OR D+21
- Sunnyside, Clackamas, OR D+26
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Parkside, Portland, ME D+77
- Haines Corner, Lewiston, ME R+23
- Courier City, Tampa, FL Even
- Mission Hills, El Paso, TX D+27
- Rock Creek Lexington Road, Louisville, KY D+35
- Paradise Valley, South San Francisco, CA D+42
- Downtown Springfield, Springfield, MO D+19
- Lincoln, Vancouver, WA D+44
- South Park, Seattle, WA D+50
- Somerset Park, Willingboro, NJ D+65
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.