Garden City leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Garden City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Garden City, ~19% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Garden City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Garden City is the least Republican-leaning.
Politically, Garden City sits close to the rest of Kansas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Garden City. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 32 points.
Why Garden City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Garden City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Garden City votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 76%, far above the Kansas average of 19%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Garden City, KS sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Garden City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Garden City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 13 points above the Kansas average of 9%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 37% of households in Garden City rent, above 92% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in Garden City report food insecurity, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pierceville, KS R+59
- Holcomb, KS R+60
- Tennis, KS R+80
- Plymell, KS R+68
- Deerfield, KS R+82
- Ingalls, KS R+79
- Lakin, KS R+66
- Shallow Water, KS R+88
- Copeland, KS R+76
- Cimarron, KS R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Banning, CA R+4
- Ephrata, PA R+29
- Baldwinsville, NY D+4
- Dakota Ridge, CO D+9
- Helena, MT D+17
- Southlake, TX R+29
- East Wenatchee, WA R+24
- Foothill Farms, CA D+2
- Sand Springs, OK R+33
- Shelbyville, TN R+43
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.