Garden leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Garden typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Garden, ~29% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Garden compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Garden leans more Republican than 10 of 20 neighbors.
Garden runs about 29 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why Garden leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Garden, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Garden live in densely developed areas, about 30 points below the Michigan average of 31%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Garden, MI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Garden looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Garden is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Garden own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Garden Corners, MI R+31
- Nahma, MI R+32
- Sac Bay, MI R+31
- Cooks, MI R+26
- Thompson, MI R+25
- St. Jacques, MI R+32
- Isabella, MI R+32
- Fayette, MI R+26
- Fairport, MI R+28
- Minor Beach, MI R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Youngs Bottom, WV R+53
- Hanover Center, NH D+29
- Charlottesville, IN R+58
- East Sandwich, NH D+5
- Elliott, MS R+57
- Star, TX R+77
- Hull, IL R+64
- Idalia, CO R+74
- Ovalo, TX R+79
- Glendale, TN R+65
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.