Garden Valley leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Garden Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Garden Valley, ~34% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Garden Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Garden Valley leans more Republican than 25 of 53 neighbors.
Garden Valley runs about 44 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Garden Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Garden Valley. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+28) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Garden Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Garden Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Garden Valley votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Garden Valley runs about 44 points more Republican.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Garden Valley, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Garden Valley looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Garden Valley have completed high school, about 11 points above the California average of 86%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Coloma, CA R+25
- Kelsey, CA R+23
- Georgetown, CA R+22
- Lotus, CA R+20
- Greenwood, CA R+30
- Cold Springs, CA R+23
- Cool, CA R+16
- Volcanoville, CA R+11
- Placerville, CA R+21
- Pilot Hill, CA R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Langley, SC R+33
- Addison, MI R+41
- North Clarendon, VT R+23
- Keshena, WI D+33
- Bruceville, TX R+63
- Hyden, KY R+72
- Conway, PA R+19
- Calhoun City, MS R+19
- Good Hope, GA R+67
- Westville, FL R+79
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.