Gardenville leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 90% of adults in Gardenville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gardenville, ~42% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gardenville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gardenville leans more Republican than 107 of 173 neighbors.
Gardenville runs about 4 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Gardenville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gardenville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 87% of households in Gardenville are family households, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Gardenville, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Gardenville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Gardenville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in Gardenville own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Gardenville have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Carversville, PA D+5
- Pipersville, PA R+9
- Plumsteadville, PA R+8
- Holicong, PA Even
- Doylestown, PA D+7
- Buckingham, PA Even
- New Hope, PA D+16
- Fountainville, PA R+8
- Idell, NJ R+19
- Glendale, PA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ashly, LA R+70
- Little Milligan, TN R+70
- Ulvah, KY R+79
- Kelvin, AZ R+38
- Balltown, IA R+42
- Cactus Forest, AZ R+44
- Erdman, PA R+67
- Empire Prairie, MO R+66
- Sandlake, OR R+24
- Valdez, CO R+33
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.