Gervais leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Gervais typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gervais, ~19% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gervais compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gervais leans more Republican than 45 of 94 neighbors.
Gervais runs about 35 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Gervais is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gervais. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+36) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Gervais leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gervais, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Gervais votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Gervais runs about 35 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Gervais sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 77% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Gervais are family households, above 86% of cities.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Gervais, OR does.
Why turnout in Gervais looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Gervais is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Woodburn, OR D+7
- McKee, OR R+33
- West Woodburn, OR R+36
- Waconda, OR R+42
- Mount Angel, OR R+17
- Fairfield, OR R+28
- Hubbard, OR R+22
- Labish Village, OR R+41
- Donald, OR R+31
- St. Paul, OR R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Owenton, KY R+62
- Waverly City, OH R+39
- Adams, TN R+56
- Highland Beach, FL R+12
- Ragland, AL R+80
- Cedar Bluff, AL R+74
- Livingston, AL D+33
- Missouri Valley, IA R+35
- Welch, WV R+32
- Horseshoe Bay, TX R+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.