Gila is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 43% of adults in Gila typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gila, ~21% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gila compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gila sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 2 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 6 leaning the other way.
Gila runs about 8 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gila. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+9) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+40), a spread of about 50 points.
Why Gila leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Gila. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Gila, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Gila looks the way it does
Turnout in Gila sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cliff, NM R+40
- Buckhorn, NM R+39
- Mangas Springs, NM R+29
- Pinos Altos, NM D+8
- Silver City, NM D+11
- Mule Creek, NM R+40
- Tyrone, NM R+25
- Redrock, NM R+45
- Arenas Valley, NM Even
- Pleasanton, NM R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mount Gretna, PA R+35
- Climax, MN R+55
- Boone Grove, IN R+46
- Andover, IA R+47
- Helena, IL R+70
- Red Banks, WI R+45
- Packwood, IA R+48
- Dawson, WV R+61
- Luray, MO R+66
- Kemp, OH R+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.