Mule Creek leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 42% of adults in Mule Creek typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mule Creek, ~13% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mule Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mule Creek leans more Republican than 5 of 10 neighbors.
Mule Creek runs about 46 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Mule Creek is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Mule Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mule Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mule Creek votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Mule Creek runs about 46 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Mule Creek sits in the bottom quarter on density (fewer than 1%, in the bottom fraction of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Mule Creek, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Mule Creek looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 97% of adults in Mule Creek have completed high school, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 29% of households in Mule Creek rent, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pleasanton, NM R+30
- Buckhorn, NM R+39
- York, AZ R+59
- Glenwood, NM R+29
- Cliff, NM R+40
- Guthrie, AZ R+55
- Clifton, AZ R+36
- Duncan, AZ R+61
- Morenci, AZ R+43
- Gila, NM Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lodoga, CA R+42
- Grantsboro, TN R+72
- Zion, MO R+65
- Cathay, ND R+64
- Grassmere Park, PA R+55
- Carter, SD R+56
- Nahma, MI R+32
- Mount Airy, MO R+68
- Carrolls, WA R+26
- Flowertown, TN R+65
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.