Gilbert leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Gilbert typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gilbert, ~30% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gilbert compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gilbert leans more Republican than 17 of 32 neighbors.
Gilbert runs about 21 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Gilbert is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gilbert. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+21) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Gilbert leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gilbert, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in Gilbert drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Gilbert runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Gilbert, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Gilbert looks the way it does
Turnout in Gilbert sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McKinley, MN Even
- Genoa, MN R+18
- Eveleth, MN R+5
- Biwabik, MN Even
- Virginia, MN Even
- Leonidas, MN R+11
- Pineville, MN R+14
- Aurora, MN R+14
- Mountain Iron, MN R+13
- Iron Junction, MN R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Beggs, OK R+47
- Willacoochee, GA R+47
- Halstead, KS R+52
- Stocks, GA R+57
- Argos, IN R+54
- Deerfield, NH R+4
- Defiance, MO R+42
- Claysburg, PA R+62
- Vernon, NY R+30
- Shady Shores, TX R+37
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.