Vernon leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Vernon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vernon, ~24% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vernon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vernon leans more Republican than 46 of 134 neighbors.
Vernon runs about 43 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Vernon is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vernon. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Vernon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vernon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Vernon votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Vernon runs about 43 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Vernon runs against that pattern.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Vernon, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Vernon looks the way it does
Turnout in Vernon sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Vernon Center, NY R+42
- Sherrill, NY R+4
- Lairdsville, NY R+37
- Verona, NY R+37
- Spencer Settlement, NY R+40
- Sconondoa, NY R+36
- Oneida Castle, NY R+33
- Westmoreland, NY R+35
- Valley Mills, NY R+43
- Oneida, NY R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shady Shores, TX R+37
- Deerfield, NH R+4
- Bellaire, MI R+9
- Fountaintown, IN R+56
- Argos, IN R+54
- Iota, LA R+86
- New York Mills, MN R+53
- Stocks, GA R+57
- Halstead, KS R+52
- Willacoochee, GA R+47
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.