Deerfield is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 91% of adults in Deerfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Deerfield, ~44% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Deerfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Deerfield leans more Republican than 54 of 103 neighbors.
Deerfield runs about 7 points more Republican than New Hampshire as a whole.
Why Deerfield leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Deerfield. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Deerfield, NH sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Deerfield looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Deerfield is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Deerfield own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Deerfield have completed high school, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Deerfield Parade, NH R+4
- South Deerfield, NH R+5
- Northwood, NH R+8
- Short Falls, NH R+9
- Leavitts Hill, NH R+18
- Candia Four Corners, NH R+20
- Epsom, NH R+8
- Candia, NH R+16
- Nottingham, NH R+10
- West Nottingham, NH R+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vernon, NY R+30
- Shady Shores, TX R+37
- Fountaintown, IN R+56
- Argos, IN R+54
- Bellaire, MI R+9
- New York Mills, MN R+53
- Iota, LA R+86
- Halstead, KS R+52
- Willacoochee, GA R+47
- Stocks, GA R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.