Grants leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Grants typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grants, ~28% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grants compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grants leans more Republican than 12 of 15 neighbors.
Grants runs about 15 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Grants is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Grants. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 40 points.
Why Grants leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grants, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Grants votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 53%, far above the New Mexico average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Grants runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Grants, NM sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Grants looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Grants is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 37% of households in Grants rent, compared to around 9% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Grants report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Milan, NM R+12
- San Rafael, NM R+39
- San Fidel, NM D+21
- Bluewater, NM R+20
- San Mateo, NM R+8
- Pueblo Of Acoma, NM D+63
- North Acomita Village, NM D+64
- Casa Blanca, NM D+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wareham Center, MA Even
- Pleasant Valley, NY R+7
- Sauk Village, IL D+59
- Ilion, NY R+22
- Norwell, MA D+14
- Franklin Park, NJ D+39
- Diamondhead, MS R+46
- Taos, NM D+50
- Blue Ridge, GA R+59
- White Horse, NJ D+3
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.