Bluewater leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Bluewater typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bluewater, ~19% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bluewater compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bluewater leans more Republican than 10 of 11 neighbors.
Bluewater runs about 26 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Bluewater is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bluewater. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+50), a spread of about 61 points.
Why Bluewater leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bluewater, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Bluewater live in densely developed areas, about 16 points below the New Mexico average of 18%. Bluewater runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Bluewater, NM does.
Why turnout in Bluewater looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bluewater is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 12 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in Bluewater report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 73% of adults in Bluewater have completed high school, below 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Prewitt, NM D+24
- Milan, NM R+12
- Grants, NM R+9
- Thoreau, NM D+20
- San Rafael, NM R+39
- San Mateo, NM R+8
- Smith Lake, NM D+24
- San Fidel, NM D+21
- Continental Divide, NM D+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lowman, NY R+51
- Gerald, OH R+58
- La Crosse, IN R+45
- Dubberly, LA R+43
- Grand Cane, LA R+29
- Middlesex, NY R+39
- Cherry Creek, NY R+48
- St. Vincent College, PA R+14
- Farmville, GA R+73
- Ellwood, CA D+37
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.