Greenvale, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Greenvale

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Greenvale leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.

 

About 73% of adults in Greenvale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Greenvale, ~33% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Greenvale compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Greenvale leans more Republican than 181 of 260 neighbors.

Greenvale runs about 23 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Greenvale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Greenvale. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+22) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 16 points.

Why Greenvale leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Greenvale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Greenvale votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 94%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 89% of households in Greenvale are family households, in the top fraction of cities. Greenvale runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Greenvale, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Greenvale looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Greenvale is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Greenvale own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.