Grove Park leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Grove Park typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grove Park, ~24% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grove Park compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grove Park leans more Republican than 11 of 41 neighbors.
Grove Park runs about 15 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Grove Park. The south side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+47), a spread of about 48 points.
Why Grove Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grove Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Grove Park live in densely developed areas, about 52 points below the Florida average of 57%.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Grove Park, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Grove Park looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Grove Park is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rex, FL R+42
- Keuka, FL R+30
- Hawthorne, FL R+35
- Cross Creek, FL R+26
- Earleton, FL R+50
- Orange Heights, FL R+38
- Tacoma, FL R+12
- Micanopy, FL R+19
- McMeekin, FL R+51
- McIntosh, FL R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Teepleville, PA R+53
- Thorn, MS R+55
- Allamuchy, NJ R+16
- Bosky Dell, MO R+67
- Burlington Junction, MO R+65
- Shiawasseetown, MI R+40
- Centerville, VA D+3
- Ray Brook, NY D+16
- Plumbrook, NY R+31
- Denmark, TN D+3
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.