McIntosh leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 77% of adults in McIntosh typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in McIntosh, ~24% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How McIntosh compares
Among cities within 25 miles, McIntosh leans more Republican than 17 of 39 neighbors.
McIntosh runs about 25 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why McIntosh leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in McIntosh. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a low never-married share tend to turn out at a higher rate; McIntosh, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in McIntosh looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. McIntosh is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 56%, below 73% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Reddick, FL R+24
- Cross Creek, FL R+26
- Micanopy, FL R+19
- Citra, FL R+46
- Wacahoota, FL R+31
- Tacoma, FL R+12
- Fairfield, FL R+37
- Keuka, FL R+30
- Grove Park, FL R+28
- Anthony, FL R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Delavan, MN R+46
- Adelphi, OH R+60
- Unadilla, MI R+19
- Clifty, KY R+71
- Surprise, NY R+28
- Plad, MO R+71
- Grammer, IN R+56
- Leota, MN R+69
- Alpha, KY R+75
- Ollie, IA R+53
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.