Guernsey is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Guernsey typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Guernsey, ~14% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Guernsey compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Guernsey leans more Republican than 62 of 85 neighbors.
Guernsey runs about 52 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why Guernsey leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Guernsey, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Guernsey, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Ohio average of 23%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Guernsey are family households, above 79% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Guernsey, OH sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Guernsey looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Guernsey own their home, about 14 points above the Ohio average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kimbolton, OH R+63
- Birds Run, OH R+62
- North Salem, OH R+64
- Booth, OH R+62
- Indian Camp, OH R+61
- Boden, OH R+61
- Newcomerstown, OH R+51
- Coalport, OH R+62
- Plainfield, OH R+63
- Center, OH R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zinnia, WV R+71
- Aragon, NM R+33
- Danville, KS R+69
- Makena, HI D+21
- Grayson, NC R+48
- Brewersville, AL D+50
- Nutall Rise, FL R+80
- Gayle Mill, SC R+31
- Matthews Crossroads, NC R+2
- Munderf, PA R+57
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.