Guildhall leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 84% of adults in Guildhall typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Guildhall, ~27% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Guildhall compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Guildhall leans more Republican than 34 of 43 neighbors.
Guildhall runs about 69 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Guildhall is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Guildhall. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Guildhall leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Guildhall, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Guildhall votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Guildhall runs about 69 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Guildhall, VT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Guildhall looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Guildhall own their home, about 8 points above the Vermont average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Maidstone, VT R+29
- Groveton, NH R+36
- Granby, VT R+39
- Stratford, NH R+37
- Lancaster, NH R+15
- North Stratford, NH R+37
- Lunenburg, VT R+37
- Percy, NH R+37
- North Concord, VT R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pulpit Harbor, ME D+24
- Genoa, CO R+59
- Lima, MT R+63
- Hopson, KY R+62
- Simmonsville, VA R+64
- Custer, MT R+72
- La Mesilla, NM D+58
- Hillsboro, PA R+57
- Hardinville, IL R+58
- St. Anna, MN R+64
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.