Gum Spring leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 91% of adults in Gum Spring typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gum Spring, ~31% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gum Spring compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gum Spring leans more Republican than 49 of 81 neighbors.
Gum Spring runs about 38 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Gum Spring is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gum Spring. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Gum Spring leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gum Spring, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Gum Spring votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Gum Spring runs about 38 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Gum Spring, VA sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Gum Spring looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Gum Spring is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Gum Spring have completed high school, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sandy Hook, VA R+25
- South Anna, VA R+40
- Hadensville, VA R+37
- Irwin, VA R+21
- Goochland, VA R+22
- Dabneys, VA R+35
- Maidens, VA R+26
- Georges Tavern, VA R+34
- Yanceyville, VA R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- McDonalds Mill, VA R+34
- Denison, WA R+41
- Cienega Springs, AZ R+43
- Blossom, TX R+79
- Grimsley, TN R+70
- Stockton, KS R+58
- Washburn, ME R+41
- Little Rock Air Force Base, AR R+4
- Claude, TX R+76
- Soldiers Grove, WI R+20
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.