Hamilton is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Hamilton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hamilton, ~43% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hamilton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hamilton sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 59 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 55 leaning the other way.
Hamilton runs about 8 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hamilton. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Hamilton leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Hamilton. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Hamilton, VA does.
Why turnout in Hamilton looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hamilton is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Hamilton have completed high school, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Purcellville, VA Even
- Paeonian Springs, VA Even
- Dulles, VA R+11
- Waterford, VA R+5
- Hillsboro, VA R+7
- Round Hill, VA R+7
- Leesburg, VA D+17
- Mountville, VA Even
- Airmont, VA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wellborn, FL R+64
- Rolling Hills Estates, CA D+15
- Pinetop-Lakeside, AZ R+30
- Tolono, IL R+21
- Wayne, WV R+60
- Coleman, MI R+43
- Chase City, VA Even
- Richmond, VT D+32
- Davis, OK R+60
- Spring Lake, NJ R+13
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.