Harding leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Harding typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Harding, ~20% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Harding compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Harding leans more Republican than 57 of 64 neighbors.
Harding runs about 54 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Harding is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Harding. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+35), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Harding leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Harding, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Harding votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Harding runs about 54 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 86% of residents in Harding drive to work alone, above 86% of cities. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Harding are family households, above 79% of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Harding, IL sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Harding looks the way it does
Turnout in Harding sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Serena, IL R+34
- Wedron, IL R+33
- Prairie Center, IL R+36
- Earlville, IL R+38
- Leland, IL R+41
- Shabbona Grove, IL R+45
- Sheridan, IL R+34
- Triumph, IL R+40
- Ottawa, IL R+11
- Naplate, IL R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fulbright, TX R+77
- Alquina, IN R+64
- Hartwick, IA R+47
- Anabel, MO R+70
- Kerens, WV R+58
- Saxton, KY R+76
- East Jewett, NY R+7
- Napi Headquarters, NM R+2
- Welsh Run, PA R+65
- Pleasant View, WV R+70
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.