Harnedsville is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Harnedsville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Harnedsville, ~12% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Harnedsville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Harnedsville leans more Republican than 83 of 121 neighbors.
Harnedsville runs about 61 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Harnedsville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Harnedsville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in Harnedsville hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Harnedsville is about 95%, well above similar-sized cities (around 79%).
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Harnedsville, PA does.
Why turnout in Harnedsville looks the way it does
Turnout in Harnedsville sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ursina, PA R+51
- Confluence, PA R+56
- Listonburg, PA R+62
- Ursina Junction, PA R+62
- Addison, PA R+60
- Draketown, PA R+68
- Markleton, PA R+71
- Selbysport, MD R+53
- Markleysburg, PA R+58
- Engle Mill, MD R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alfordsville, IN R+70
- Monie, MD R+49
- Curby, IN R+54
- Tatitlek, AK R+19
- Caney Valley, AR R+75
- Canoncito, NM D+17
- Calis, WV R+63
- Little Point Sable, MI R+25
- Pleasure Valley, IN R+61
- Glensboro, KY R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.