Harpursville leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Harpursville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Harpursville, ~22% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Harpursville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Harpursville leans more Republican than 73 of 96 neighbors.
Harpursville runs about 57 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Harpursville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Harpursville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Harpursville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Harpursville votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Harpursville runs about 57 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Harpursville sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 90% of cities).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Harpursville, NY sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Harpursville looks the way it does
Turnout in Harpursville sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tunnel, NY R+45
- Nineveh Junction, NY R+39
- West Colesville, NY R+44
- Nineveh, NY R+43
- East Windsor, NY R+34
- Ouaquaga, NY R+36
- Afton, NY R+36
- Vallonia Springs, NY R+40
- Port Crane, NY R+34
- North Afton, NY R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Brimfield, MA R+11
- Clinton Corners, NY D+6
- Palmer Lake, CO R+23
- Darlington, MD R+47
- Winchester, NH R+24
- Pinebluff, NC R+17
- Unionville, MO R+66
- Arcadia, IN R+42
- Pemberville, OH R+36
- Kirkwood, PA R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.