Afton leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Afton typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Afton, ~21% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Afton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Afton leans more Republican than 46 of 93 neighbors.
Afton runs about 49 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Afton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Afton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Afton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Afton votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Afton runs about 49 points more Republican. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Afton fits that profile on both counts.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Afton, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Afton looks the way it does
Turnout in Afton sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Middle Bridge, NY R+38
- North Afton, NY R+36
- Nineveh Junction, NY R+39
- Vallonia Springs, NY R+40
- Nineveh, NY R+43
- Bennettsville, NY R+41
- Bainbridge, NY R+39
- Coventryville, NY R+39
- Harpursville, NY R+44
- West Bainbridge, NY R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mount Perry, OH R+60
- Rockholds, KY R+77
- Wildwood, GA R+68
- Hickory Flat, MS R+76
- Fowler, OH R+47
- Driscoll, TX R+20
- Cold Springs, NV R+37
- Porter Springs, GA R+50
- Lone Pine, CA R+5
- Huntington, AR R+70
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.