Tunnel leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Tunnel typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tunnel, ~20% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tunnel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tunnel leans more Republican than 77 of 102 neighbors.
Tunnel runs about 57 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Tunnel is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Tunnel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tunnel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Tunnel, more than 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 5% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 29 points below the New York average of 34%. Tunnel runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Tunnel, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Tunnel looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 96% of households in Tunnel own their home, about 19 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Harpursville, NY R+44
- Port Crane, NY R+34
- North Fenton, NY R+31
- West Colesville, NY R+44
- Quinneville, NY R+39
- Chenango Forks, NY R+35
- Nineveh Junction, NY R+39
- Kattelville, NY R+23
- Nineveh, NY R+43
- Lower Genegantslet Corner, NY R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- So-Hi, AZ R+52
- Ohop, WA R+38
- Fredonia, ND R+75
- Pinedale Shores, AL R+84
- Fenns, IN R+59
- Tokio, AR R+67
- Roque Bluffs, ME R+31
- Kirkmansville, KY R+68
- Sylvania, IN R+57
- Yell, TN R+69
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.