Hat Creek leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Hat Creek typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hat Creek, ~14% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hat Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hat Creek leans more Republican than 62 of 69 neighbors.
Hat Creek runs about 54 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Hat Creek is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hat Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hat Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Hat Creek live in densely developed areas, about 21 points below the Virginia average of 26%. Hat Creek runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Hat Creek, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hat Creek looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 80% of adults in Hat Creek have completed high school, about 9 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wren, VA R+47
- Brookneal, VA R+32
- Holts Crossing, VA R+43
- Gladys, VA R+44
- Mount Zion, VA R+41
- Spring Mills, VA R+48
- Phenix, VA R+41
- Red House, VA R+37
- Three Forks, VA R+49
- Rough Creek, VA R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Smoot, WV R+61
- Whitehurst, NC R+16
- Zaidee, GA R+66
- Springbrook, ND R+78
- Sunnyhill, TN D+19
- Reichert, OK R+70
- Rockford, IN R+60
- Ilfeld, NM Even
- Dorton, KY R+72
- Mallard, IA R+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.