Hatfield leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Hatfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hatfield, ~56% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hatfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hatfield leans more Democratic than 73 of 106 neighbors.
Hatfield runs about 8 points more Democratic than Massachusetts as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hatfield. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+37) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+27), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Hatfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hatfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 49% of adults in Hatfield hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hatfield, MA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Hatfield looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hatfield is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- West Hatfield, MA D+34
- North Hatfield, MA D+37
- Hadley, MA D+52
- Amherst Center, MA D+72
- Haydenville, MA D+49
- Northampton, MA D+79
- Factory Hollow, MA D+54
- West Whately, MA D+45
- Sunderland, MA D+48
- Leeds, MA D+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Star, NC R+53
- Mount Ulla, NC R+58
- Upperco, MD R+29
- Wyandotte, OK R+63
- Millersport, OH R+44
- Millsap, TX R+79
- Lake City, GA D+46
- St. Anne, IL R+36
- Pauma Valley, CA R+26
- Wallis, TX R+54
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.