Haw River leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Haw River typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Haw River, ~32% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Haw River compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Haw River leans more Republican than 27 of 51 neighbors.
Haw River runs about 18 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Haw River. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+39), a spread of about 57 points.
Why Haw River leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Haw River, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Haw River votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 29%, about 7 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Haw River, NC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Haw River looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Haw River is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Swepsonville, NC R+23
- Graham, NC R+8
- Mebane, NC Even
- Green Level, NC D+16
- Burlington, NC D+9
- Bellemont, NC R+58
- Orange Grove, NC Even
- Efland, NC Even
- Alamance, NC R+48
- Glen Raven, NC D+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kearneysville, WV R+40
- Crookston, MN R+10
- Quinton, VA R+30
- Tipton, IN R+48
- Millburn, NJ D+46
- Heber, CA D+5
- Scottsburg, IN R+46
- River Oaks, TX R+12
- Carrollton, OH R+54
- Devine, TX R+44
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.