Carrollton is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Carrollton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carrollton, ~17% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carrollton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carrollton leans more Republican than 37 of 101 neighbors.
Carrollton runs about 43 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why Carrollton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carrollton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Carrollton, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Ohio average of 23%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Carrollton runs against that pattern.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Carrollton, OH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Carrollton looks the way it does
Turnout in Carrollton sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Petersburgh, OH R+59
- New Harrisburg, OH R+58
- Harlem Springs, OH R+63
- Pattersonville, OH R+64
- Scroggsfield, OH R+65
- Dellroy, OH R+56
- Morges, OH R+59
- Mechanicstown, OH R+66
- Augusta, OH R+66
- Wattsville, OH R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Scottsburg, IN R+46
- Dobson, NC R+58
- Heber, CA D+5
- Palmview, TX R+3
- Lagrange, OH R+32
- Stewartville, MN R+19
- Fort Gibson, OK R+49
- Tipton, IN R+48
- Crookston, MN R+10
- Atascosa, TX R+10
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.