River Oaks leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 48% of adults in River Oaks typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in River Oaks, ~21% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How River Oaks compares
Among cities within 25 miles, River Oaks leans more Republican than 13 of 65 neighbors.
Politically, River Oaks sits close to the rest of Texas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within River Oaks. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+19) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 15 points.
Why River Oaks leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for River Oaks, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
River Oaks votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 95%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and River Oaks sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 81% of cities).
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as River Oaks, TX does.
Why turnout in River Oaks looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. River Oaks is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 28%, about 9 points above the Texas average of 19%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 76% of adults in River Oaks have completed high school, below 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Naval Air Station JRB, TX R+15
- Westworth Village, TX R+27
- Sansom Park, TX R+9
- Westover Hills, TX R+32
- Lake Worth, TX R+19
- Fort Worth, TX D+15
- White Settlement, TX R+20
- Lakeside, TX R+46
- Saginaw, TX R+20
- Blue Mound, TX R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Devine, TX R+44
- Millburn, NJ D+46
- Haverford, PA D+50
- West Bridgewater, MA R+8
- Alpine, TX R+7
- Quinton, VA R+30
- Sidney, MT R+59
- Litchfield, IL R+40
- Garnet, CA D+20
- Haw River, NC R+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.