Heart Lake leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Heart Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Heart Lake, ~18% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Heart Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Heart Lake leans more Republican than 83 of 115 neighbors.
Heart Lake runs about 48 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Heart Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Heart Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Heart Lake, about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%.
Income per capita and voter turnout
Places with high per-capita income tend to turn out at a higher rate; Heart Lake, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Heart Lake looks the way it does
Turnout in Heart Lake sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tiffany, PA R+45
- New Milford, PA R+49
- Brooklyn, PA R+46
- Franklin Forks, PA R+47
- Montrose, PA R+40
- Lawsville Center, PA R+46
- South Montrose, PA R+48
- Hallstead, PA R+40
- Kingsley, PA R+51
- Harford, PA R+55
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Roe, KY R+69
- Hydaburg, AK R+3
- Little Lake, MI R+20
- Footville, OH R+53
- Belair Cove, LA R+68
- Swift Falls, MN R+39
- East Hope, ID R+39
- Pleasure Valley, WV R+61
- Reidsville, NY R+18
- DeSmet, ID R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.