Harford is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Harford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Harford, ~16% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Harford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Harford leans more Republican than 116 of 121 neighbors.
Harford runs about 53 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Harford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Harford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Harford, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Harford, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Harford looks the way it does
Turnout in Harford sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kingsley, PA R+51
- South Gibson, PA R+50
- Jackson, PA R+51
- West Lenox, PA R+45
- New Milford, PA R+49
- Lakeview, PA R+53
- Brooklyn, PA R+46
- Hop Bottom, PA R+49
- West Clifford, PA R+41
- Lindaville, PA R+49
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rabbittown, AL R+81
- Westwood, IN R+52
- Georgetown, MT R+32
- Thedford, NE R+82
- Teasdale, MS R+68
- Fultz, KY R+62
- Hillsdale, WI R+44
- Hinkledale, TN R+69
- New Hope, VA R+56
- Point, LA R+87
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.