Hereford leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Hereford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hereford, ~23% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hereford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hereford leans more Republican than 12 of 15 neighbors.
Hereford runs about 34 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why Hereford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hereford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Hereford live in densely developed areas, about 35 points below the Arizona average of 39%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Hereford, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Hereford looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Hereford own their home, about 22 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Miracle Valley, AZ R+40
- Palominas, AZ R+37
- Sierra Vista Southeast, AZ R+36
- Nicksville, AZ R+36
- Village Meadows, AZ R+16
- Naco, AZ D+9
- Sierra Vista, AZ R+18
- Don Luis, AZ D+6
- Bisbee, AZ D+4
- Fort Huachuca, AZ R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Greenfield, MO R+62
- Redway, CA D+22
- Freeman, SD R+60
- Friendship, TN R+69
- Sonora, OH R+54
- Sidney, IL R+35
- Porterfield, WI R+43
- Valders, WI R+46
- Nevada, OH R+60
- Panacea, FL R+55
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.