Miracle Valley, AZ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Miracle Valley

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Miracle Valley leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.

 

About 85% of adults in Miracle Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Miracle Valley, ~25% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Miracle Valley compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Miracle Valley leans more Republican than 13 of 15 neighbors.

Miracle Valley runs about 35 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.

Why Miracle Valley leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Miracle Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in Miracle Valley drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in Miracle Valley are family households, above 94% of cities.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Miracle Valley, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Miracle Valley looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. More than 99% of households in Miracle Valley own their home, about 27 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.