Nicksville leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Nicksville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nicksville, ~19% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Nicksville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Nicksville leans more Republican than 9 of 15 neighbors.
Nicksville runs about 31 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why Nicksville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Nicksville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Nicksville drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Nicksville are family households, above 79% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Nicksville, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Nicksville looks the way it does
Turnout in Nicksville sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sierra Vista Southeast, AZ R+36
- Miracle Valley, AZ R+40
- Hereford, AZ R+39
- Sierra Vista, AZ R+18
- Village Meadows, AZ R+16
- Palominas, AZ R+37
- Fort Huachuca, AZ R+10
- Huachuca City, AZ R+34
- Whetstone, AZ R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alleyton, TX R+62
- Vera, VA R+48
- Volga, KY R+67
- Pine Crest, CO R+23
- Stuckey, SC D+35
- Swampers, LA R+86
- Emma, CO D+28
- Utica, IL R+29
- Otterville, IA R+41
- Plummers Mill, KY R+66
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.