Hernando leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Hernando typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hernando, ~22% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hernando compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hernando leans more Republican than 21 of 43 neighbors.
Hernando runs about 32 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hernando. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Hernando leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hernando, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hernando votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 43%, modestly below the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Hernando, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Hernando looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hernando is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 56%, below 72% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Holder, FL R+48
- Citrus Hills, FL R+34
- Inverness Highlands North, FL R+35
- Beverly Hills, FL R+27
- Pine Ridge, FL R+44
- Citrus Springs, FL R+44
- Inverness, FL R+42
- Lecanto, FL R+45
- Inverness Highlands South, FL R+46
- Dunnellon, FL R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Montgomery, NY R+19
- Winslow, AZ R+14
- Mentone, CA R+18
- Good Hope, CA D+4
- Naranja, FL D+12
- Adkins, TX R+47
- Southside, AL R+75
- Barnhart, MO R+42
- Fort Salonga, NY R+16
- Bardmoor, FL R+20
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.