Bardmoor leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Bardmoor typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bardmoor, ~31% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bardmoor compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bardmoor leans more Republican than 37 of 55 neighbors.
Bardmoor runs about 7 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Bardmoor leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bardmoor, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bardmoor votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 99%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bardmoor, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Bardmoor looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bardmoor is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pinellas Park, FL R+12
- West Lealman, FL R+9
- Bay Pines, FL R+14
- Seminole, FL R+18
- Largo, FL R+11
- Kenneth City, FL R+16
- South Highpoint, FL D+8
- Madeira Beach, FL R+20
- Redington Beach, FL R+26
- North Redington Beach, FL R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Proctorville, OH R+51
- Barnhart, MO R+42
- Pleasant Grove, AL D+41
- Mentone, CA R+18
- Hernando, FL R+46
- Montgomery, NY R+19
- Winslow, AZ R+14
- Woodbine, MD R+10
- Good Hope, CA D+4
- Wonder Lake, IL R+17
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.