Heron Bay is a Republican stronghold. About 10% of voters here vote Democratic and 90% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Heron Bay typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Heron Bay, ~6% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Heron Bay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Heron Bay leans more Republican than 18 of 20 neighbors.
Heron Bay runs about 50 points more Republican than Alabama as a whole.
Why Heron Bay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Heron Bay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Heron Bay live in densely developed areas, about 16 points below the Alabama average of 19%.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Heron Bay, AL does.
Why turnout in Heron Bay looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Heron Bay own their home, about 12 points above the Alabama average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Coden, AL R+76
- Delchamps, AL R+82
- Mon Louis, AL R+81
- Bayou La Batre, AL R+55
- Dauphin Island, AL R+62
- Irvington, AL R+59
- San Souci Beach, AL R+73
- Theodore, AL R+43
- St. Elmo, AL R+58
- Grand Bay, AL R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Xenia, KS R+64
- Roxanna, OH R+45
- Maltersville, IN R+54
- Gold Creek, MT R+57
- Binghampton, IL R+40
- Lake Drive, TN R+74
- Estelline, TX R+79
- Eridu, FL R+60
- DeGraff, KS R+63
- Port Elizabeth, NJ R+45
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.