Hidalgo is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 41% of adults in Hidalgo typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hidalgo, ~20% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hidalgo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hidalgo leans more Republican than 21 of 43 neighbors.
Hidalgo runs about 9 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Why Hidalgo leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Hidalgo. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hidalgo, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Hidalgo looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hidalgo is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 10 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 72% of adults in Hidalgo have completed high school, below 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Granjeno, TX R+12
- Pharr, TX Even
- El Gato, TX R+16
- San Juan, TX Even
- Madero, TX R+16
- McAllen, TX R+2
- Alamo, TX R+3
- Palmhurst, TX R+9
- Lopezville, TX Even
- Palmview South, TX R+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Port Jervis, NY R+17
- Bogart, GA R+32
- Durham, NH D+47
- Columbia, KY R+59
- Taylorsville, KY R+54
- Monroe, WI R+8
- Plano, IL R+3
- Myerstown, PA R+48
- Lake Tapps, WA R+9
- Shorewood, WI D+63
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.