Palmhurst leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Palmhurst typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Palmhurst, ~27% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Palmhurst compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Palmhurst leans more Republican than 32 of 45 neighbors.
Palmhurst runs about 5 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Palmhurst. The northeast side is the most split-leaning (R+19) and the south side is the least split-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Palmhurst leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Palmhurst, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Palmhurst votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 77%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Palmhurst are family households, above 92% of cities.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Palmhurst, TX does.
Why turnout in Palmhurst looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Palmhurst is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 28%, about 10 points above the Texas average of 19%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 84% of adults in Palmhurst have completed high school, below 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Alton, TX R+3
- Mission, TX R+4
- McAllen, TX R+2
- Palmview, TX R+3
- Palmview South, TX R+5
- Madero, TX R+16
- Granjeno, TX R+12
- Edinburg, TX Even
- Lopezville, TX Even
- Pharr, TX Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yuma, CO R+50
- Blanco, TX R+53
- Mount Angel, OR R+17
- New London, NH D+26
- Knox, PA R+55
- Clayville, VA R+14
- West Lake Hills, TX D+11
- Pinon, AZ D+58
- Llano, TX R+60
- Jericho, VT D+22
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.