Hinckley leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Hinckley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hinckley, ~27% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hinckley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hinckley leans more Republican than 31 of 83 neighbors.
Hinckley runs about 48 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hinckley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hinckley. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+32), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Hinckley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hinckley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hinckley votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hinckley runs about 48 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 86% of residents in Hinckley drive to work alone, above 83% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hinckley, NY sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Hinckley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hinckley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Hinckley own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Hinckley have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Prospect, NY R+32
- Trenton Falls, NY R+32
- Remsen, NY R+42
- Barneveld, NY R+31
- Steuben Valley, NY R+38
- Grant, NY R+24
- Poland, NY R+38
- Cold Brook, NY R+39
- Ohio, NY R+40
- North Gage, NY R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zenda, KS R+71
- Codys Corner, FL R+54
- State Line City, IN R+62
- Comstock, TX R+76
- Cottonville, MS R+35
- Southland, TX R+72
- Cranesville, WV R+64
- Sphinx Park, CO R+7
- Sycamore, AR R+52
- South Canisteo, NY R+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.