Historic District, Natchitoches, LA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Historic District

Historic District leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.

 
Historic District, Natchitoches, LA block-group political-lean map
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About 60% of adults in Historic District typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Historic District, ~34% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Historic District, Natchitoches, LA block-group voter-turnout map
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Lower turnout Higher turnout
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How Historic District compares

Historic District runs about 35 points more Democratic than Louisiana as a whole. Louisiana leans Republican overall, while Historic District is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Historic District. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+73) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+35), a spread of about 108 points.

Why Historic District leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Historic District, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Historic District votes against the grain of Louisiana. Louisiana leans Republican overall, while Historic District runs about 35 points more Democratic.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Historic District, Natchitoches, LA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Historic District looks the way it does

Turnout in Historic District sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Louisiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.